Australia is entering a housing "supercycle," with pent-up demand for new homes set to significantly increase construction activity. Qualitas managing director Andrew Schwartz predicts that the number of apartment commencements could triple to 75,000 per year, driven by a need to catch up on a years-long supply shortage.
Key points:
- Record Investment: Qualitas invested $2.4 billion in private credit, 85% directed at housing developments.
- Housing Shortage: Current apartment starts total 59,728, far short of the 75,000 needed annually to meet demand.
- Construction Challenges: Labor shortages and capacity issues make hitting this target difficult, especially in cities like Sydney and Brisbane.
- Supercycle Outlook: With the right investment and industry changes, a surge in housing production is expected, though overcoming challenges will require structural shifts in the sector.
- Growth for Investors: Despite hurdles, Qualitas anticipates healthy future capital deployment, potentially reaching $10 billion annually.
Takeaways:
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Expect increased demand and financing opportunities.
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Labour and capacity constraints could limit growth—plan for delays.
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Structural changes are needed to hit targets.
This summary is based on an article by Michael Bleby, published in The Financial Review, titled “Australia is entering a housing ‘super cycle’, Qualitas says.”